Home » Here Are The Official Autopian Automotive Predictions For 2026

Here Are The Official Autopian Automotive Predictions For 2026

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There’s a myth – maybe it’s more of a legend – circulating in the automotive world about a magical elixir made from all of a car’s essential fluids: oil, gasoline/diesel, coolant, brake fluid, blinker fluid, headrest juice, and so on. This elixir is said to be able to imbue the quaffer with the ability to see into the future! The future!

The beginning of a new year is a fantastic time to make predictions, of course, so I decided to attempt to concoct such an elixir. The proper ratios of the elixir have been lost to time, and while I was able to summon the ghosts of both Henry Ford and Hans Ledwinka, neither had any useful insight into this. In fact, Henry just called me a bunch of anti-semitic slurs, and Hans just wanted what happened in some old Star Trek episodes, since he died in 1967. They were no help at all.

Vidframe Min Top
Vidframe Min Bottom

In the end, I just kept adding gin to the mixture until I could keep it down without vomiting that much, and I think I must have done something right, because right after I wet myself (lavishly, of course) a series of premonitions flooded my mind, visions of the year to come, automotively. Lucky for you, I was able to Sharpie these ideas onto a scrap of drywall so I could remember them when I sobered up!

Here’s what I came up with:

Touchscreen Door Handles

Predict Doorhandlescreen

You know how everyone is starting to realize that electronic door handles are an ass-pain, and even sometimes dangerous? Sure you do. We’re all getting sick of them. And, I think eventually the industry will wise up and phase out these stupid overcomplicated things. But before that happens, I think there will be one last, stupid stand of overcomplicated door handles, and that last stupid stand will be really overcomplicated.

And it’ll have screens.

Yes, I predict that the final nail in the coffin of overcomplex electronic door handles will be handles that have a touchscreen with a graphical menu on the outside of the door. You’ll have to navigate to some menu screen with options to open the door, with a separate OK/execute button, and it will be so maddening and inane that, finally, the whole of humankind will say enough and we’ll go back to basic mechanical door handles that just flapjacking work.

L3 Autonomy Will Be Solved By Everyone Agreeing To Just See What Happens

Predict L3

I’ve been saying that Level 3 automated driving – a level where the car is doing all of the driving, until it just can’t, and then the human has to take over, even though they’re not actually required to be supervising in any capacity while the car is driving – is stupid. Deeply stupid.

And yet, the inherent contradictions and confusions of Level 3 don’t seem to be dissuading carmakers from trying to implement it, like Mercedes-Benz, who has a (low speed) and geofenced L3 system available now.

Here’s my prediction: Level 3 will become more prevalent because in 2026 automakers will band together to all agree to “just kind of see what happens” with L3 systems, coupled with new driver end-user agreements full of tiny text that absolve carmakers from any liability when these systems start to cause accidents.

So far, no automaker has given me a good, viable explanation of how they’ll handle the handoff between car and human when it needs to happen, especially in a hurry, and I don’t have any faith they’ll come up with something that works, not really. Instead, I think we’ll see some bullshit like this.

New Subscription Plan: SaaS (Seats as a Service)

Predict Seatsubs

You know how everyone hates car feature subscriptions? Sure you do. Nobody likes them, nobody. But carmakers just can’t ignore all of that sweet, sweet cash just sitting there in your car, in features and equipment you thought you already owned. The problem (for automakers, not you) is that too many subscription features are things you could ignore.

Heated seats, better acceleration, navigation, multi-zone climate control … these are all things car owners can, you know, do without. But what about seats themselves!

I predict that 2026 will be the year of subscription seats, or Seats as a Service (SaaS). When you don’t pay your seat subscription, the seat folds itself into an uncomfortable lump that you can just barely sit on, juuussst enough to meet the legal requirements. To have the seat unfurl into its full, comfortable state, you need to pay.

You’re gonna hate it.

Lack of Cheap Cars Will Start a Trend of “Renewal Shops”

Predict Refreshed

You know what sucks? The fact that there are less and less, perhaps even fewer and fewer genuinely cheap new cars for sale. Nissan killed the cheapest car you could get in America, the Versa, and while there are still some under $25,000 options, there’s not that many, and it sure would be nice if there were some options for even less than $25,000, which is still a good chunk of money.

I don’t see automakers stepping up to fill this hole in the market, so I predict a new industry will emerge where companies – backed or partnered with finance companies, so people can take out loans for these cars – will take decent used cars and “re-manufacture” them to update some of the tech and clean, renew, repair, and refresh them so they’re almost like new cars.

I think these cars could sell for between $12,000 to $20,000, depending on the base car and level of refreshing. These are beyond just “certified pre-owned” cars; these will all be fairly extensively re-worked so as to be viable competition to entry-level cars costing $5,000 to $10,000 more.

And it’s not a completely unheard of idea! Czech carmaker Tatra would regularly re-manufacture their 603 models, updating old ones to newer specs and fixing everything that needed fixing.

It’s kind of a grim thought, but I honestly think this could be a viable business if done right.

New Vega. That’s All.

Vega

AI Disrupts Driving

Predict Ai

New AI will disrupt driving by taking prompts from driver-users and then generating text, pictures, and video of what the trip would have been like, freeing drivers from having to bother going anywhere at all, ever, forever!

Why bother actually doing anything or going anywhere when some AI can just fabricate all the evidence you need? What do you want, anyway, actual, physical, visceral enjoyment, or some really bitchin’ reels for Insta? Why even get out of bed?

 

So, there you go! Predictions for 2026! I hope I’m wrong about most of these, and, given my track record, I likely will be.

 

 

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Ben
Member
Ben
1 month ago

Car renewal will never happen in the Rust Belt. The amount of rusty components that would need to be replaced would pretty much necessitate a complete rebuild anyway.

Drew
Member
Drew
1 month ago
Reply to  Ben

Car renewal in the Rust Belt is someone flying out and buying the same model from somewhere without all the salt, driving it back, and crushing the old one. No repairs or updates, but it’ll look brand new to the Rust Belt driver.

Joke #119!
Joke #119!
1 month ago

I’m in the market to get my Matrix completely refurbed. Outside, the paint is oxidating and flaking off. Couple of dents need undenting. Need a whole new front valence as I ran over a semi’s blown tire in the dark and had no way of avoiding it. Need to replace the heater core, and might as well get some other parts replaced while going that deep into the dash. Engine leaks oil while driving and for a short time after driving.

What I DON’T need is any new tech or any new safety features or nannies. I mean, That’s why I want this 2003 car “renewed” in the first place. THAT should be the selling point of “renewing” cars.

Njd
Member
Njd
1 month ago

So I wikipedia’d Hans Ledwinka since I wasn’t familiar and I’m reminded just how many central Europeans have a curious gap in their biographies between 1937 and 1945. Given that information I’m a little surprised his ghost didn’t also call you an antisemitic slur…

Aiko
Member
Aiko
1 month ago

Didn’t Renault open a refurbishing factory a year or two back? Their whole thing is refurbishing cars.

Captain Muppet
Captain Muppet
1 month ago

Ah, “renewing” old cars.

There was an RX7 “specialist” who imported cars from Japan and advertised every car as having a “rebuilt” engine (a major selling point for anything Wankel). They allowed car viewing by appointment only, but as I was passing I just dropped in. As I walked in they had an RX7 under a crane and had lifted the engine out and were spraying the whole thing silver, wiring harness and all.

I guess the business model was sell every car with a shiny silver engine, and those that blow up under the warranty period you just actually rebuild, having already included the cost in the initial purchase price anyway.

TheDrunkenWrench
Member
TheDrunkenWrench
1 month ago
Reply to  Captain Muppet

The ‘ol DuPont rebuild is a classic.

Cerberus
Member
Cerberus
1 month ago

These aren’t as crazy as I expected, but even worse, not as crazy as they should sound. Worse still, there would still be people defending any of this technology if they came to true.

Cheap Bastard
Member
Cheap Bastard
1 month ago

“Why bother actually doing anything or going anywhere when some AI can just fabricate all the evidence you need? What do you want, anyway, actual, physical, visceral enjoyment, or some really bitchin’ reels for Insta? Why even get out of bed?”

So Total Recall?

Mechjaz
Member
Mechjaz
1 month ago
Reply to  Cheap Bastard

That’s one of my favorite movies. I saw it probably too young and it is absolutely a formative memory. Maybe I’ll watch it tonight.

DNF
Member
DNF
1 month ago
Reply to  Mechjaz

You will probably be asked to pay a new subscription fee to see it.
I found out the same video rental companies we have charge us ten times as much here, than in Europe.

Mechjaz
Member
Mechjaz
1 month ago
Reply to  DNF

That one’s too important to leave to chance – I’ve got a Blu-ray rip (yes, I bought it and ripped it myself, I don’t pirate stuff. Just found a Blu-ray of The Running Man in the bargain bin today, in fact!)

DNF
Member
DNF
1 month ago
Reply to  Mechjaz

I hope you have a solid Blu-ray burner that can’t be blocked by updates.
I recently bought a multi region late model Sony player due to the practice of obsoleting old decks by changing disc software, a form of corporate theft.
Best burners are outboard now.
I’m in a rural area and DVDs have never been more popular here.

Mechjaz
Member
Mechjaz
1 month ago
Reply to  DNF

Yeah, I spent a long time looking on the MakeMKV forums. I got one that could have ripped 4Ks if it had been one firmware version earlier and thus flashed to libredrive, but the cost of 4Ks has made it relatively easy to stick to Blu-ray.

DNF
Member
DNF
1 month ago
Reply to  Mechjaz

There is software sold in Europe that is sold in at least two separate pieces, possibly in separate countries now.
It is highly efficient, allowing you to choose what to save.
I think it will digitize for saving to a drive as well.
I’ve seen software that will burn bluray to standard dvds also. I hear 4k isn’t as useful as it sounds, like 1080 early days.
Are you familiar with HDFury?
High quality and legal.

Last edited 1 month ago by DNF
Nick B.
Member
Nick B.
1 month ago

I saw “new Vega,” my mind read it as “Lou Bega” and launched into Combo #5, the parody of Mambo #5 about a restaurant that myself, my brother, and my neighbor worked on as kids.

I hate my brain sometimes.

Clueless_jalop
Clueless_jalop
1 month ago
Reply to  Nick B.

Combo #5

Keep going…

Nick B.
Member
Nick B.
1 month ago
Reply to  Clueless_jalop

One, two, three four five
Everybody wants shrimp, so c’mon let’s fry
Got a hungry man around the corner
Says he wants a juicy crab but he
Really wants pizza
Want some shrimp and pepper steak
Got the same appetizer that he had last week

I don’t remember much beyond that, but this was 1999 and we were 10 and 11. At one point we had the entire song written down, but it has been lost to time.

Joke #119!
Joke #119!
1 month ago
Reply to  Nick B.

Solid Effin’ GOLD!

05LGT
Member
05LGT
1 month ago

Am I really the only one who must seek vengeance for the affront of having read “headrest juice”? How can one just gloss over the implied process of taking a ratty stained headrest, placing it in a press and lavishly juicing it, releasing decades of broken AC neck sweat, various hair products, dandruff, and other assorted human secretions? Next time I see a shit box showdown contender as beneath considering I’ll merely state that if I owned it I’d sell it as scrap after extraction of all the headrest juice.

DialMforMiata
Member
DialMforMiata
1 month ago

Ooh, what about HAPTIC door handles where you have to slide your finger along a touch panel to open the door, but only 3/4 of the way, and if you slide your finger any further it puts the car into “panic mode” and sounds the horn constantly until you complete a Captcha on the car’s phone app?

Mechjaz
Member
Mechjaz
1 month ago
Reply to  DialMforMiata

Having driven (in a parking lot, not in any real way) a late model Tesla for work, this is distressingly close to the absolutely horrible touchscreen shifter. In other words, it’s not a question of if, but when.

Last edited 1 month ago by Mechjaz
Ricardo M
Member
Ricardo M
1 month ago
Reply to  DialMforMiata

Just make the locks 2FA

Ppnw
Member
Ppnw
1 month ago

Regarding L3 autonomy, I think you’re right. Particularly with Tesla pushing their “cameras only” tech.

I think those automakers will essentially “bully” the public into accepting less-than-perfect autonomy by saying “it’s still miles better than a human”.

They will frame it like Waymo (a 97% reduction in crashes!), and give up on pretending it was ever going to be perfect.

Eephus
Member
Eephus
1 month ago

May I humbly suggest to the electronic door handle designers, that they use polarized displays, so that if you are wearing polarized sunglasses, you have to turn your head sideways to see the buttons.

Slow Joe Crow
Slow Joe Crow
1 month ago

Resuming production of scarce parts,for common cars would be an excellent start on renewal. Several manufacturers already have “classic” divisions remaking parts for collectible models, why not make them for more ordinary stuff. This provides the means to keep cars running and would address things,like NA Miatas laid low by NLA camshaft sensors. This does create a supply chain issue because so many things use micro chips and that chip or something comparable needs to be available.

DNF
Member
DNF
1 month ago
Reply to  Slow Joe Crow

I have proposed that hypermiler cars be built to a spec for subframes, to make them more repairable, rather than the current ‘can’t be fixed’ standard automakers target.
More importantly, competitors could offer better or worse options at their price point, if the original builder wasn’t interested in being competitive.
This works for cheaper cars too, or cheaper drivetrains in cars originally complex.
Much like Europe has offered engines from a litre in some cars, to larger turbo engines in the same vehicle.
I met a guy from Germany who told me his Mercedes at home had 26 HP.
So there is some precedent.

Harth Huffman
Member
Harth Huffman
1 month ago

The car-rebuilding shop idea does not seem depressing or grim to me at all. In fact, I regularly watch it done on tv all the time. It’s Wheeler Dealers for the masses!

MP
MP
1 month ago

The renewal shop idea actually has some real merit to it. But I also question whether we are there yet. Simply because there are still plenty of decent newer used cars that already fall into that 12-20k price range. Unfortunately, and I hope I am wrong, But I think new cars need to get EVEN MORE EXPENSIVE before something like this occurs.

DNF
Member
DNF
1 month ago
Reply to  MP

None of the current prices are reasonable.

The Tennessee Ford plant, which is remote enough to make commuting costly, got a giant “Meh” with their original pay scale.
New offer was double, but in the meantime groceries doubled.
I think they did themselves a lot of damage.

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