You know what’s great? A minivan. You know what all my friends are buying? Highlanders. That’s the safe choice. Or maybe a Honda Pilot. The fun choice? A Mazda CX-90. I like those. You know what the best choice is in almost any situation? A Honda Odyssey, or a Kia Carnival, or maybe a Pacifica. If you’re at the Toyota dealer already, then it’s the Sienna, for sure.
Most people do not make this choice. The prime three-row buying group is a Millennial with their second kid either here or imminently on the way. My friends know what I do for a living and thus always ask for my advice before buying a car. They almost never take it, sometimes to their great detriment. Consumers must be overhearing my wisdom, because minivans are selling like Bomb Pops in Hades.


Here’s some interesting news. Lucid sales are way up, bucking the norm of startups. Some of this is probably due to the fact that they have a new SUV that is… a minivan. Let’s face it, it’s a minivan. It’s a great car for kids, and if you love kids, you’re going to love the new book from Kristen Lee. And while we’re talking about books, Larry Chen has one, too.
One might think The Morning Dump today would be dominated by the politics of the moment, but an extra long “magic minute” speech in the house is delaying the signing of the mega tax/budget bill, so I’m going to give myself a break here and leave the politics out of TMD as much as possible today. It’ll be there on Monday, and the temperature is quite high now. I’m going to let the mercury fall a bit and then, next week, when more of this is resolved, we can talk about “Large Engine Vehicles” and whatever other nonsense happens in the coming days.
Minivans Had A Huge Quarter

I don’t know who needs to hear this, but minivans are rad. MPVs are rad, too, and I’d have probably bought one if anyone sold an MPV in America. Instead, I bought the standard-issue two-row hybrid crossover, so my criticism of people who pass over a minivan and buy a crossover-SUV is going to be slightly hypocritical. If the Mazda5 were still in production, I might be in a different situation.
Minivans were once the hottest thing for families since Captain Crunch, and my theory on why people became minivan averse goes something like this:
- Recognizing that American families needed space, automakers created a huge number of wagon variants of sedans. This became such a cliché that National Lampoon’s Family Vacation effectively killed the station wagon with its Family Truckster. Not coincidentally, the premiere of that movie in 1983 nicely dovetails with the introduction of the Dodge Caravan the same year.
- The minivan itself became so common and so associated with a certain kind of maternal existence that it was replaced in the 1990s by the SUV in the form of the Ford Explorer and all the vehicles that followed it.
- SUVs became associated with gas-guzzling and endless wars in the Middle East, so they transitioned into giant three-row crossovers. [Ed Note: It helps that crossovers are just better on gas (fuel prices were rough around 2008-ish), plus they’re more comfortable and cheaper than beefy body-on-frame SUVs, while still giving off a similar SUV vibe. -DT].
Because my fellow Millennial parents grew up in the backs of Previas and Quests and the like, buying one can represent a certain sort of failure. A sense that you’ve fallen into the same trap as your parents. As my caretakers had a string of Escorts, Impulses, and B.R.A.T.s, it doesn’t hit the same for me, which means I can recognize that the modern minivan is a marvel of packaging and efficiency.
Thomas already made this point well in his Sienna review, but you can’t get more capabilities, space, ease of use, or even luxury in any other vehicle sold in the United States. If you want something efficient, there’s the Sienna or Carnival Hybrid. If you want a PHEV, there’s the Pacifica. If you want something surprisingly quick, there’s the Odyssey. You can hardly go wrong.
People agree! This year, let’s look at the field so far:
- Toyota Sienna: Up 61% y-o-y with 52,672 sales
- Honda Odyssey: Up 28% with 50,033 sales
- Kia Carnival: Up 57% with 35,152 sales
- Chrysler Pacifica/Voyager: Down 22% with 22,938 sales
The Pacifica is older and less competitive, so that’s a bit of an outlier here. As Car And Driver points out, the ID.Buzz is also showing weak sales, which has nothing to do with the collective lust for minivans and more to do with the van’s unavoidable flaws.
Finally, the minivan has returned.
Lucid Sales Are Up As The Gravity Begins Deliveries

Here’s a fun one! For all the sales slumping that’s occurring at Tesla and Rivian, that isn’t happening at Lucid Motors. The there-but-for-the-grace-of-the-PIF electric automaker is doing quite well, thank you. Will that change once the IRA tax credit for leasing goes away? I don’t know, and I’m not going to talk about it right now.
Let’s let the kids have their day. Q2 deliveries were up 38% year-over-year to 3,309 vehicles, as production and delivery of the admittedly exceptional Lucid Gravity started. I know David has been sort of critical of this thing being a big jelly-bean minivan in the past, saying:
[W]ith the Lucid Gravity, I have a suspicion that engineers won most of the arguments with designers, and I have always been firmly in the camp that thinks designers should tell engineers what to do, thereby compelling them to come up with interesting technical solutions. I don’t think it should be the other way around, because design is simply too important, especially in this price class.
Perhaps, given the news above, people actually want minivans. The Carnival is a minivan that looks like an SUV, the Gravity is an SUV that looks like a minivan. Both might work. I’m going to have to wait for registration data in a few months to find out how well the Gravity is doing, as Lucid doesn’t break out individual sales. I did get a Lucid spokesperson to confirm that at least one Gravity was delivered, which is backed up by social media posts.
Pre-Order Kristen Lee’s Kids’ Book About Cars

The great automotive journalist and equally great pal-of-this-site Kristen Lee has a new book for kids coming that’ll explore things that go. It’s literally called “The 50 States: Things That Go” and includes some awesome stock cars on the cover, I assume, for New Hampshire. From the publisher:
Buckle up and get ready to hit the road on an adventure through all 50 states to discover the fastest, wackiest, and most rip-roaring vehicles across the United States—from race cars and roller coasters to submarines and trains. From the roaring racing cars of Indiana to the soaring space shuttles of Florida, travel through 50 states with vehicle expert and enthusiast Kristen Lee, and uncover more than 500 facts that showcase the vehicles, history, and spirit of the USA.
The California page includes both Sally Ride and the Corkscrew, so I already love it. Pre-order it wherever you pre-order books.
Also, Get Larry’s Book While You’re At It
Did I just do all of your holiday shopping for you? You’re welcome. Larry Chen, the most influential photographer of his/my generation, has a book coming out called “Life At Shutter Speed” and it’s going to be big and beautiful (maybe a bad word choice, sorry). It’s also being published by our friends at Carrara Books, so you know it’ll look great.
Known for his complete and total immersion into the automotive scene, Chen has earned a reputation for capturing photos that could only be achieved with unlimited access. As a result, the images in Life At Shutter Speed have defined the modern era in cars, in events, in people and in an entire generation of enthusiasts.
“This book helped me relive so many pivotal moments throughout my career. It perfectly encapsulates my mission to capture and celebrate car culture.”
There are two versions, and while neither is cheap, they are art pieces (I got a preview of the book, so I’m giving you my word here). You can pre-order this book here.
What I’m Listening To While Writing TMD
My daughter has been learning to drum, and we use a drumming program that allows her to practice with simplified versions of various songs. The best so far has been “There She Goes” by the La’s. Last night I excitedly played “Bombtrack” by Rage Against The Machine. She was a little slow to pick it up because she did not listen to this song 19,000 times as a youth. I tried to rectify this by playing it on the car this morning, assuming Apple Music would pick the album version, which, unlike a lot of RATM’s songs, doesn’t have any obscenities. Instead, Apple Music played the live version, and boy does that Zack de la Rocha character love to drop F-bombs. Thanks, Apple Music.
The Big Question(s)
What are your holiday weekend road trip plans? Also, would you ever buy a minivan?
Top photo: Fesley Music/Toyota
Late post here but I don’t see the tax credit going away really affecting Lucid as are any of their vehicles even eligible for the current credit? Even if so what is the average price of a lucid? The Air starts at 70k and the gravity is like 80k so will not having the credit really affect their sales? At those prices are most likely well off people.
My wife had a CX50 and we needed more room for travel so upgraded to a CX90. It ended up being too big for her to be comfortable driving it so I inherited that as my work car and she got another 50. We have had short conversations about down the road if we need a bigger car, looking into a Tahoe as that really would be the next size up. I keep bringing up vans and she likes to shut that one down quick. I would absolutely rock a new Odyssey Sport as they are pretty slick looking.
Just moved to Australia where they sell the CX-60. Rear wheel drive platform, available in a plug-in hybrid. Your experience should hopefully point the way forward for this obvious gap in the US lineup.
Weekend road trip plans? Well, I am flying to Maine tomorrow, finished up my gig in Alabama today. Chilling in my hotel room by the Birmingham airport tonight. Will probably take my Spitfire for a spin if the weather is nice, but no roadtrips per se. Might drive up to a friend’s oceanfront cottage Saturday evening for dinner, but that’s only an hour or so away. That will be in my 328! wagon though. I’ll be at my place in Maine for a week, then my office in MA for the following week, then back home to Florida to check on the progress on my new place, finally broke ground this week! Perfect timing, that.
As for buying a minivan? Probably not, simply because they are a bit “in-between” for me. My wagons have enough space for me most of the time, and a minivan isn’t enough bigger to make a difference. If I decide to go big or go home, I am going full-send and buying a Suburban that can swallow 4×8 sheets of plywood. No minivan can do that. But reality is at that point, buying my own utility trailer makes a LOT more sense.
Most minivans are specifically designed to swallow 4×8 sheets. I don’t know the current figures, but the old Grand Caravan had at least 20 cu ft of interior space more than the contemporary Suburban.
Yup, can confirm, my in-laws have a 2019 Ody (or close) and it has done the plywood sheet haul. That’s honestly a pretty common task for some minivans.
I know a few GCs that rock the minivan. And one with a Honda Fit.
I was ecstatic when my wife decided she wanted a van instead of an SUV.
But here’s the eternal question – are the non-Chrysler vans actually selling better because they are suddenly more popular, or are they just no longer horrifically production constrained? In know FOR SURE from folks who wanted to buy one the past few years that the Sienna was basically polished unobtainium, especially in the less than absolutely fully-loaded plus a stiff added-dealer-greed markup trim. I would not be surprised if the others were the same. And that would also explain the drop in Pacifica sales – I am SURE that some decent number of buyers bought them because they could actually get one, not because they really wanted one.
Enquiring minds want to know. Raw numbers rarely tell much of a story.
Even the ancient Pacifica is up 22%. So this is a real trend. Not just a blip.
<edit> Crap- I didn’t notice it was DOWN 22%. Still the other vans are all pretty old here except the KIA , right?
Going to be in the Nevada County Independence Day parade Friday held in Grass Valley CA this year. I brought the Shamancycle back to life over the past weekend by replacing the front brake cylinders in the ’67 VW bug front end. It looks a little different now with some material improvements, but overall it looks like it did back then. Check it out at https://www.shamancycle.com/
Wtf did I just click on? This looks like it belongs at Burning Man.
Minivans are the best. My 16 Ody is the family work horse. So nice to load it up and still see out the back. I don’t get the “too cool” for a minivan crowd. If your friends judge you on your car purchase, you don’t have real friends.
And if you need further proof minivans are popular, every Sienna at the local dealership is $5k!!! over msrp.
https://www.stevenscreektoyota.com/searchnew.aspx?Make=Toyota&ModelAndTrim=Sienna
What the too cool for a van doesn’t get is that being in the SUV gives off even worse vibes.
I don’t think younger peeps suffer from minivan stigma as much as some of the older generations.
Anecdotally, we borrowed my in-laws’ Ody for a VT ski trip and one of the girls (probably late 20s at the time) fell in love with it by the end of the trip because it was so comfy, quick, and could pack in so much crap. She also liked being able to lay out flat over a row (and over her friends) to sleep.
This same person had been skinny dipping in a wedding venue’s fountain a few months earlier when we all were guests there. Nurses are a wild bunch.
My next vehicle is going to be a Sienna, and I wish I had one now. It’s not just having two kids, we managed that ok in a Prius and a Soul. It’s picking up them and their friends, carrying around their sports stuff, going on 6 hour road trips to visit the grandparents, and taking the family car camping. It’s also being able to fold down the rear seats and carry all of the stuff to support my wife’s gardening supplies and my workshop materials.
I’ll trade you “There She Goes” by R.E.M off of “Dead Letter Office.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VpkMt6Bhu5M
Weekend plans? Not sure. Maybe take the sailboat out with the family, towed by our Odyssey.
Already on our second minivan. The Odyssey is nice, would have preferred the hybrid Sienna, but was unavailable at the time. Would really love a PHEV minivan with towing capacity, but alas….
What are your holiday weekend road trip plans? Also, would you ever buy a minivan?
Going nowhere. Have a wedding nearby. No. I’m not in the demographic. We did rent one for a trip up the coast to Seattle. Perfect for that use, as we then drove others, upwards of 8, around in them while at the destination.
I’m just hoping the Jeep dealership can get my WL Trailhawk back to me before they close so I have a way to get my dirt bike to the trailhead this weekend.
What I’m listening to.
I discovered Ren on Youtube. He mainly talks about mental health issues (there’s a sad story there), but he has gotten Political with his Money Game Series. For example Money Game Part 2. It’s not ROTM, but it closer than most songs
https://youtu.be/YonS9_QJbp8?list=RDYonS9_QJbp8
PS, then because I have a weird history, this song came up as the next to come up on auto-play. Talk about a complete change in tone and theme.
https://youtu.be/A52p9jc-gOo?list=RDYonS9_QJbp8
“Chrysler Pacifica/Voyager: Down 22% with 22,938 sales
FCA/Stellantis were wrong to ever cancel the Dodge Grand Caravan. And the whole idea of Dodge ONLY being a performance car brand was stupid from the start.
“What are your holiday weekend road trip plans?
Well I’m in Canada, so my holiday just passed. Just did a day trip to the Niagara area.
“Also, would you ever buy a minivan?”
If I needed the space, yes. But I don’t need that much space for my daily driver.
Having said that, I’ve convinced friends who wanted to “upgrade to a large SUV for more space” to get the minivan instead.
The minivan had more space and cost less than the SUV they were looking at.